Summary of the livestream with Oleksiy Arestovych, former Ukraine’s Presidential Head of Office advisor, Day 335, January 24th. Kindly brought to you by Anastasiya: @Anastasiya1451A
Original video in Russian:
Artillery duels between Ukrainian and Russian forces. Russian artillery hit residential areas. More information on the outcome tomorrow.
⚡️Bahmut, Soledar, Avdiivka & Mariinka
Russia keeps attempting to attack Bahmut and cut the supply routes to the city, attempting to approach Chasov Jar. Russian advances in the North are extremely difficult due to terrain elevation and Ukrainian defenders occupying higher ground. Russian forces are trying to attack Bahmut from the South, near Opytne. Ukrainian forces shot down Su-25 and two anti-radar missiles.
Ukrainian forces keep hitting Russian military targets and logistics, with Russian forces reporting hits in occupied Volnovaha. Russia keeps 28 BTG in the Zaporizhzhja area. This is not enough for the occupation of Zaporizhzhja city, or even Orihiv, but can cause some local problems. Russian forces attempted tactical advances, with an attempted offensive near Vuhledar resulting in 3 Russian Ka-52 in a few hours. Russian sources report very limited advances that were followed by a Ukrainian counteroffensive shortly.
⚡️Kreminna & Svatove
Ukrainian forces stopped an attempted Russian attack in Lyman’s direction. Russian sources report AFU approaching Kreminna.
⚡️Russian attacks on Ukrainian cities
Russia keeps shelling the residential areas of Kherson, Kramatorsk, Kharkiv, Sumy and Chernigiv, resulting in civilian deaths.
⚡️Tanks for Ukraine & Melitopol declaration
At the end of 2022, the commander of the Ukrainian Armed Forces, General Zaluzhnyy, stated that he needed additional tanks (300), APC (500) and artillery to liberate Melitpol and destroy Russian logistics and defence in the South of Ukraine.
After months of resistance from Germany and countless discussions & speculations about Leopard 2 transfer to Ukraine, Germany agreed to send (around 14 units) and allow other allies to transfer their tanks to Ukraine. This is following the earlier transfer of Polish (more than 300 units), Slovak and Moroccan T72 tanks, and the UK’s willingness to supply Challenger tanks. Bloomberg also mentioned the insider information from Biden’s administration on the US supplying Abrams to Ukraine as well.
At this point, the only type of weapons that are not yet being supplied to Ukraine are long-range missiles and Western warplanes, but it may come sooner than some people predict.
The transfer of modern, Western tanks to Ukraine is showing the resolve of the collective West to supply heavy armament to Ukraine to help the Ukrainian Armed Forces to liberate Ukrainian territories from Russian invaders and end the war in 2023.
While Ukraine fought even with very little or almost no Western aid and managed to liberate part of its territories, Western military aid is 70% of the rapid success of the next counteroffensive. The Western industrial-military complex revival took some time, but the fast supply of heavy weapons is key to ending the war swiftly. Waiting any longer may give the Russians additional time to mobilize and train more soldiers, which will require more time to be dealt with. Thus, Ukraine must get all the necessary equipment to give Russian invaders as few chances as possible.
⚡️Feudal society in Russia
Russian society is facing further stratification, with the elite getting more rights and less accountability while common Russians getting poorer and fewer rights. Thus, Russian MPs are exempt from making IRS declarations while common Russians will need to request permission to travel abroad.
️⚡️Turkey blocking Sweden’s ascension to NATO & Russian provocations
After a far-right representative burned Quran in Sweden, Erdogan has again opposed Swedish ascension to NATO. This has a strong resemblance to the provocations organised by the Russian FSB, using far-right movements to alienate Turkey from the EU.
The previous bomb packages and packages with mutilated animal parts sent to Ukrainian and EU institutions in Europe were probably orchestrated by “Russian Imperial Movement”, which is linked to FSB and has close cooperation with the Swedish far-right. The same movement or other FSB proxies may stage further provocations targeting Muslims in the EU, as part of the Russian hybrid war against the West. Erdogan is facing elections in May and will be forced to respond to this kind of provocations until the end of the elections, but will probably not obstruct the NATO summit in June.
Lukashenko claimed that Ukraine proposed a non-aggression pact. While Ukraine would like to avoid aggression from the Belarusian army, Ukraine wouldn’t attack Belarus. Zelensky once more reinforced that Ukraine didn’t and will not attack anyone, but also will not tolerate attempts to attack its territory. Ukraine will give adequate responses to any provocations & attempts to invade from the North.
Ukraine hopes that Belarus will not be coerced by Russia to enter the war and will preserve its independence in the face of the Russian threat.
⚡️️ Russian Gazprom Bank
The US will stop servicing Russian state-owned Gazprombank dollar corresponding accounts. This was the main Russian bank that was operating with dollars and performing essential transactions with gas & buying military equipment. This is another sanctions measure affecting the Russian economy and military purchases. Any illegal transactions with dollars done by the Russian Federations will be easily detectable and earn further sanctions against Russia.
Saakashvili has reportedly contracted COVID, which is very dangerous with his current health problems. It’s unknown if he is receiving adequate care and treatment under the custody of the Georgian Government. Feygin & Arestovych are appealing again to the Georgian Government to allow Saakashvili to receive proper medical treatment. More public pressure actions are planned to protest the Georgian Government’s inaction.
Next stream is on Thursday, 26th of January.