Day 290, December 10th. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast

Posted on 11 December 2022

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by Atis

Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย @savaadaak

English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:

Original video in Russian:

๐Ÿ”ฅ Battlefield update:

๐Ÿ”ฅ Kherson: Camp of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ draftees in Chulakivka destroyed, over 100 killed, 200-300 wounded.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Melitopol: a key to defense of all ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ south, largest manufacturing and logistics hub. If Melitopol falls, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ can reach Crimea and Mariupol. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ concentrating significant forces, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ bombing it for 3 days, even right now. Berdyansk airport also being bombed.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Vuhledar: nothing
๐Ÿ”ฅ Novomykhailivka-Marinka-Krasnohorivka-Avdiivka-Kamianka-Novabakhmutivka-Bakhmut-Soledar: hot line, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ forces with size of squad, platoon, rarely a company trying to attack with infantry supported by artillery. Attacks multiple times per day, mostly unsuccessful.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Bakhmut-Soledar: attacks many times per day with support of aviation and best remains of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ artillery. There are at least 12 tactical artillery groups (2 brigades). ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ progress is 100m per week, while taking 1000 causalities.
Infantry attacks are easy to hold off, if you have well working fire control, and recon. However any slightest mistake, and infantry will reach you, and attacking infantry has advantages in trench warfare. There are different levels of preparedness for defenders. Well organized units can sit for months at same location. Units that are not working well will retreat, then better trained units will regain positions in counter-attacks.
Prognosis is that Bakhmut will not be captured.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Spirne-Bilohorivka: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ has liberated a little strip of Luhansk district, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ attacking, trying to recapture it. Same situation as everywhere, no success.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Kreminna-Svatove: ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ unsuccessfully attempting runs in direction of Yampil-Lyman. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ actions have led to holding fire-control at multiple locations of road Svatove-Kreminna. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ forced to supply through Starobilsk.
๐Ÿ”ฅ Kharkiv-Chernihiv-Sumy: being shelled by ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ, occasionally something hits back at attackers.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Shahed drone attack:

Yesterday 15 drones were launched at south, 10 intercepted. Some damage to energy infrastructure in Odessa district.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Wagner and mobilized:

Inmates form corrective colony 29 in Kuzbass made a video, saying they are finishing training, but they don’t look like equipped for Wagner.
Man in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ uniform caught in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Rostov district, firing at ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ policemen. Unclear what police would write in protocol, if he is supposed to be in prison.
Prisoners can be “motivated” better for assault than mobilized – nobody would search for them if they go missing, so they have to choose between likely death in attack, or sure death for not complying.
Amount of prisoners recruited shows that mobilized are not going into assault willingly, meaning ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ army lacks assault troops.
Attacks will only last, while there are prisoners, draftees can’t be for complicated or risky objectives. Second and third wave of mobilized won’t be good for attacks.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Strikes inside Russia:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธU.S. has given green light for ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ Ukraine to attack targets in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ has so far not listened to such restrictions, if they existed. If hypothetically ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ would be doing such strikes, it would not use ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. weapons for that, there are enough local weapons. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ Millerovo air base was attacked on 25th of February and not with ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ U.S. weapons.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Russian munitions:

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ are running out of Kh-555 and Kh-101 missiles, they can do 5-6 more operations of 100 missiles (one operation is 3-4 rounds). ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ can then use Kh-22 which are ancient and very inaccurate (600+ meters). As they are intended against ships, they will look for largest target, and one such was used and hit supermarket.
Other missiles have less range (300km) and have smaller warheads. Their effectiveness is doubtful.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ will combine different missiles, in less amounts, effectiveness will decrease to minimum.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Victor But:

was just exchanged from ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ and immediately expressed support of war in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ. As he is 55 years old, he is welcomed to join ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ army near Bakhmut, where he will get a chance to revenge for all his experiences in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ธ prisons and become immortal hero in 15 minutes.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Erdogan:

Planning to visit Moscow, and then Kyiv. Likely he was asked by Moscow, but ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ should not worry. Possibly ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey will get discount for gas, but ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ will get more Bayraktars and armored vehicles.

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