Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:Β @savaadaak
English voice-over video byΒ Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
π₯ Battlefield update:
π₯ Kherson:
No ground battles, only artillery duels in advantage to πΊπ¦. π·πΊ only hitting civilian areas, not πΊπ¦ equipment.
π₯ Zaporozhye:
π·πΊ sources claiming πΊπ¦ got reinforcements near Vuhledar. π·πΊ not reporting any success, despite usually reporting even capturing part of tiny village.
π₯ Marinka-Bakhmut:
same offensive attempts by π·πΊ. South-west from Horlivka quite intense for πΊπ¦. This is where π·πΊ has most forces concentrated, attempting to break through 2014 defenses.
π₯ Bakhmut-Soledar:
varying attacks from both sides. π·πΊ reports of city battles are false.
π₯ Bilohorivka-Kreminna-Svatove:
no significant changes, πΊπ¦ capture few hilltops, π·πΊ attempts to recapture and fail
π₯ Crimea plans:
πΊπ¦ M. Podolyak promised selfie from Yalta in half-year. Arestovych promised to join.
Crimea is quite vulnerable and hard to defend. All logistics are through bridge and ships.
π₯ Mud season:
Attacks are happening anyway, there are locations where weather doesn’t matter. At some locations weather does matter, but army can always find a way. Frozen ground of course is easier.
πΊπ¦ army has warm-up points where front-line is stationary, allowing solders chance to take off boots and clean up. πΊπ¦ solders have experience of 9 years, being shared by veterans – solders need to have 3 pairs of boots, and chance to warm them, etc. Only few of squad are out on watch, taking shifts. It is not easy, but not a catastrophe. If π·πΊ doesn’t have anything of that, they will get frost-bites, fungus, trench foot, kidney problems.
Hardest weather will be with high humidity and frozen nights – it is still to come. Attempting to burning wet wood with fuel will cause many accidents.
π₯ Weapons:
πΊπΈ Pentagon considering supplying small precision missiles with significant range, usable with existing launch systems, costing $40k each.
π¬π§ Brimstone with laser targeting has arrived.
New types of weapons announced periodically, unlikely west is slowing down supplies.
π₯ New weapons:
πΊπ¦ O. Danilov calls for missiles with a range of 800 km or more, to achieve parity and stop hits at energy infrastructure. NATO expressed for two goals – to not expand war beyond Ukraine, and to not move war into depth of π·πΊ. The second point needs questioning – why π·πΊ can attack depth of πΊπ¦, but πΊπ¦ can’t attack back.
Year ago πΊπ¦ desperately asked for Stinger missiles. 4 months ago πΊπ¦ got M142 HIMARS. It’s only a matter of time, until πΊπ¦ gets long range missiles and aviation.
Promise of not letting πΊπ¦ to loose is getting is getting doubted, when confronted with massive missile strikes on civilian infrastructure. It’s either more air-defense, for example MIM-104 Patriot system, or provide offensive weapons.
π₯ Prigozhin:
A former convict Kurara recorded a video, where he claims Prigozhin was a “rooster” [lowest caste, sexually abused] in prison. Anyone following him in Wagner, becomes even worse. This is possibly a response to his political goals. Main goal is to make him toxic to his elite peers – Kadyrov, Zolotov. Prigozhin possibly can continue to work, but anyone else will not create coalition with him. This can be easily verified with other inmates, and if true – Prigozhin will have hard time. This means serious deterioration among π·πΊ elites.
π₯ Turkey:
πΉπ· carried air-strikes in Kurdish zones of πΈπΎ Syria. Not expecting any sensations, nor clashes with π·πΊ army in πΈπΎ Syria. Likely a limited operation, Erdogan doesn’t need full-scale war.
π₯ Afterword:
Reminder – do not ignore air-raid warnings. Most causalities are among people on streets during bombing.
Looking for contacts of child killed in bombing, to assist with finances.
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