Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis: @savaadaak
English voice-over video by Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
🔥 Battlefield update:
No ground battles, only artillery duels in advantage to 🇺🇦. 🇷🇺 only hitting civilian areas, not 🇺🇦 equipment.
🇷🇺 sources claiming 🇺🇦 got reinforcements near Vuhledar. 🇷🇺 not reporting any success, despite usually reporting even capturing part of tiny village.
same offensive attempts by 🇷🇺. South-west from Horlivka quite intense for 🇺🇦. This is where 🇷🇺 has most forces concentrated, attempting to break through 2014 defenses.
varying attacks from both sides. 🇷🇺 reports of city battles are false.
no significant changes, 🇺🇦 capture few hilltops, 🇷🇺 attempts to recapture and fail
🔥 Crimea plans:
🇺🇦 M. Podolyak promised selfie from Yalta in half-year. Arestovych promised to join.
Crimea is quite vulnerable and hard to defend. All logistics are through bridge and ships.
🔥 Mud season:
Attacks are happening anyway, there are locations where weather doesn’t matter. At some locations weather does matter, but army can always find a way. Frozen ground of course is easier.
🇺🇦 army has warm-up points where front-line is stationary, allowing solders chance to take off boots and clean up. 🇺🇦 solders have experience of 9 years, being shared by veterans – solders need to have 3 pairs of boots, and chance to warm them, etc. Only few of squad are out on watch, taking shifts. It is not easy, but not a catastrophe. If 🇷🇺 doesn’t have anything of that, they will get frost-bites, fungus, trench foot, kidney problems.
Hardest weather will be with high humidity and frozen nights – it is still to come. Attempting to burning wet wood with fuel will cause many accidents.
🇺🇸 Pentagon considering supplying small precision missiles with significant range, usable with existing launch systems, costing $40k each.
🇬🇧 Brimstone with laser targeting has arrived.
New types of weapons announced periodically, unlikely west is slowing down supplies.
🔥 New weapons:
🇺🇦 O. Danilov calls for missiles with a range of 800 km or more, to achieve parity and stop hits at energy infrastructure. NATO expressed for two goals – to not expand war beyond Ukraine, and to not move war into depth of 🇷🇺. The second point needs questioning – why 🇷🇺 can attack depth of 🇺🇦, but 🇺🇦 can’t attack back.
Year ago 🇺🇦 desperately asked for Stinger missiles. 4 months ago 🇺🇦 got M142 HIMARS. It’s only a matter of time, until 🇺🇦 gets long range missiles and aviation.
Promise of not letting 🇺🇦 to loose is getting is getting doubted, when confronted with massive missile strikes on civilian infrastructure. It’s either more air-defense, for example MIM-104 Patriot system, or provide offensive weapons.
A former convict Kurara recorded a video, where he claims Prigozhin was a “rooster” [lowest caste, sexually abused] in prison. Anyone following him in Wagner, becomes even worse. This is possibly a response to his political goals. Main goal is to make him toxic to his elite peers – Kadyrov, Zolotov. Prigozhin possibly can continue to work, but anyone else will not create coalition with him. This can be easily verified with other inmates, and if true – Prigozhin will have hard time. This means serious deterioration among 🇷🇺 elites.
🇹🇷 carried air-strikes in Kurdish zones of 🇸🇾 Syria. Not expecting any sensations, nor clashes with 🇷🇺 army in 🇸🇾 Syria. Likely a limited operation, Erdogan doesn’t need full-scale war.
Reminder – do not ignore air-raid warnings. Most causalities are among people on streets during bombing.
Looking for contacts of child killed in bombing, to assist with finances.
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