Day 205, September 16. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast.

Posted on 17 September 2022

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by Atis

Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย @savaadaak

English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:

Original video in Russian:

๐Ÿ”ฅ Battlefield update:

Day 205, September 16. Summary of #Arestovych and #Feygin daily broadcast.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Kharkiv:

no significant changes.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Kupiansk:

Most interesting area is Kupiansk-Svatove. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ forces from Borova to Lyman are left as screen, to build 2nd (and 3rd) line of defenses at Troitske-Pokrovske-Nyzhnia Duvanka-Svatove-Kreminna. Breaking that, would allow ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ to control half of Luhansk district and immediately reach Rubizhne/Schastia/Luhasnk/Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk cities.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ forces still haven’t got past Lyman and Borove, where 3 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ BTGs are defening on complicated terrain (forests, rails, roads, irrigation structures).
There are 3 scenarios:
1) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ breaks first line, has enough potential to advance on Svatove, wins that, and advances on Kreminna. This opens up all north of LNR, allows to cut off DNR. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is very afraid of this, trying to set up all possible defenses.
2) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ gets stuck in Lyman, stuck or lose footholds near Kupiansk and Borova, doesn’t have enough forces to continue. It will take time to accumulate reserves.
3) ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ pressures more on south – at Spirne, Verkhnokamianka, Bilohorivka. If ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ captures Lysychansk-Sievierodonetsk from south, it totally bypasses newly created defensive line.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Bakhmut:

It’s the only part of front-line, where ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ is attacking in some 20-30km wide zone. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ is doing active defense, and wearing out ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ forces from Bakhmut to Marinka.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Zaporozhye:

Significant amount of ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท Iranian UAVs concentrated in Zaporozhye direction, dozens of uses confirmed (denied by ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท MoD). UAVs attacking stationary targets during daylight. Waiting for reaction of ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Israel. Question – what could ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท receive in return.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Kherson:

Building with ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ occupation authorities hit, 4 killed. Recon is simple, most highest-ranking officials always take most expensive buildings.
Attack on military base/command post 4 days ago reported to have 180 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ solders killed. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ keeps advancing slowly, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ attempting desperate measures in supplying their forces – even helicopter supplies.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Kryvyi Rih:

another attack on water reservoir, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ attempting to wash away any pontoon bridges, to complicate ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ foothold across Ingulets river. Water takes about day to reach. This creates lack of drinkable water, another war crime.

๐Ÿ”ฅ SCO meeting in Samarkand:

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡พ Belarus upgraded ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ China status to “Strategic partner”, which even ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ doesn’t have.
๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฟ Kazakhstan got security guarantees from ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ, and is leaving CSTO.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ losing it’s influence in central Asia, being replaced by ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณ and ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ท Turkey

๐Ÿ”ฅ CSTO:

Seems dead, conflict also between members ๐Ÿ‡ฐ๐Ÿ‡ฌKyrgyzya and ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฏ Tajikistan. Clans have grown in ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia, that want to use ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ money, instead of negotiating with neighbors.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Europe:

Possibly ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ will not allow to destroy Putin completely, to use him against ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ณChina. However ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ is getting smarter – ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช nationalized ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ owned energy company working, that was largest source for corrupting ๐Ÿ‡ฉ๐Ÿ‡ช politicians. Hopefully those processes will happen faster, than somebody decides to allow Putin to survive.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Izium:

Over 440 graves found so far, including children and tortured solders. It’s not understandable how West can even consider negotiations or perspective to “save face”.

๐Ÿ”ฅ Russian army:

Putin said that “not all army is involved”, yet units from Kuril islands are in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ and Prigozhin is recruiting criminals for Wagner. Wagner is mostly sent to Donetsk front-line (Bakhmut, Spirne, Lyman), in attempts to reach Donetsk district borders, so that war could have political end from ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ perspective. Two Kadyrov regiments are gathered from retired VDV members with ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ nationality, and supposedly already in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ.




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