Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย @savaadaak
English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
๐ฅ Battlefield update:
Day 205, September 16. Summary of #Arestovych and #Feygin daily broadcast.
๐ฅ Kharkiv:
no significant changes.
๐ฅ Kupiansk:
Most interesting area is Kupiansk-Svatove. ๐ท๐บ forces from Borova to Lyman are left as screen, to build 2nd (and 3rd) line of defenses at Troitske-Pokrovske-Nyzhnia Duvanka-Svatove-Kreminna. Breaking that, would allow ๐บ๐ฆ to control half of Luhansk district and immediately reach Rubizhne/Schastia/Luhasnk/Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk cities.
๐บ๐ฆ forces still haven’t got past Lyman and Borove, where 3 ๐ท๐บ BTGs are defening on complicated terrain (forests, rails, roads, irrigation structures).
There are 3 scenarios:
1) ๐บ๐ฆ breaks first line, has enough potential to advance on Svatove, wins that, and advances on Kreminna. This opens up all north of LNR, allows to cut off DNR. ๐ท๐บ is very afraid of this, trying to set up all possible defenses.
2) ๐บ๐ฆ gets stuck in Lyman, stuck or lose footholds near Kupiansk and Borova, doesn’t have enough forces to continue. It will take time to accumulate reserves.
3) ๐บ๐ฆ pressures more on south – at Spirne, Verkhnokamianka, Bilohorivka. If ๐บ๐ฆ captures Lysychansk-Sievierodonetsk from south, it totally bypasses newly created defensive line.
๐ฅ Bakhmut:
It’s the only part of front-line, where ๐ท๐บ is attacking in some 20-30km wide zone. ๐บ๐ฆ is doing active defense, and wearing out ๐ท๐บ forces from Bakhmut to Marinka.
๐ฅ Zaporozhye:
Significant amount of ๐ฎ๐ท Iranian UAVs concentrated in Zaporozhye direction, dozens of uses confirmed (denied by ๐ฎ๐ท MoD). UAVs attacking stationary targets during daylight. Waiting for reaction of ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel. Question – what could ๐ฎ๐ท receive in return.
๐ฅ Kherson:
Building with ๐ท๐บ occupation authorities hit, 4 killed. Recon is simple, most highest-ranking officials always take most expensive buildings.
Attack on military base/command post 4 days ago reported to have 180 ๐ท๐บ solders killed. ๐บ๐ฆ keeps advancing slowly, ๐ท๐บ attempting desperate measures in supplying their forces – even helicopter supplies.
๐ฅ Kryvyi Rih:
another attack on water reservoir, ๐ท๐บ attempting to wash away any pontoon bridges, to complicate ๐บ๐ฆ foothold across Ingulets river. Water takes about day to reach. This creates lack of drinkable water, another war crime.
๐ฅ SCO meeting in Samarkand:
๐ง๐พ Belarus upgraded ๐จ๐ณ China status to “Strategic partner”, which even ๐ท๐บ doesn’t have.
๐ฐ๐ฟ Kazakhstan got security guarantees from ๐จ๐ณ, and is leaving CSTO.
๐ท๐บ losing it’s influence in central Asia, being replaced by ๐จ๐ณ and ๐น๐ท Turkey
๐ฅ CSTO:
Seems dead, conflict also between members ๐ฐ๐ฌKyrgyzya and ๐น๐ฏ Tajikistan. Clans have grown in ๐ฆ๐ฒ Armenia, that want to use ๐ท๐บ money, instead of negotiating with neighbors.
๐ฅ Europe:
Possibly ๐ช๐บ will not allow to destroy Putin completely, to use him against ๐จ๐ณChina. However ๐ช๐บ is getting smarter – ๐ฉ๐ช nationalized ๐ท๐บ owned energy company working, that was largest source for corrupting ๐ฉ๐ช politicians. Hopefully those processes will happen faster, than somebody decides to allow Putin to survive.
๐ฅ Izium:
Over 440 graves found so far, including children and tortured solders. It’s not understandable how West can even consider negotiations or perspective to “save face”.
๐ฅ Russian army:
Putin said that “not all army is involved”, yet units from Kuril islands are in ๐บ๐ฆ and Prigozhin is recruiting criminals for Wagner. Wagner is mostly sent to Donetsk front-line (Bakhmut, Spirne, Lyman), in attempts to reach Donetsk district borders, so that war could have political end from ๐ท๐บ perspective. Two Kadyrov regiments are gathered from retired VDV members with ๐ท๐บ nationality, and supposedly already in ๐บ๐ฆ.
