Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:Β @savaadaak
English voice-over video byΒ Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Battlefield update:
Kharkiv district:
Over 30% liberated, from Balakliia to Kupyansk, 100km in 3 days. π·πΊ sources reporting another offensive south of Izium. Izium is almost isolated (only 1 route left). Reports of π·πΊ 237th Guards Air Assault Regiment ceased to exist, another motorised regiment abandoned by commanders, looking for a chance to surrender. A lot of POW’s captured, thousands of shells, and dozens of armoured vehicles, including the latest models of BTR-82, and Msta-S artillery. If π·πΊ sources are correct about the scale of πΊπ¦ operation, then it’s going to be thousands of POWs. Izium also holds the headquarters of the 20th army, it’s a total military catastrophe. πΊπ¦ doesn’t have enough room for POWs
Bakhmut:
π·πΊ still attempting some attacks, but they don’t have any assault forces left. π·πΊ spent all their assault forces in Popasna, Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk.
Donetsk:
π·πΊ keeps attack attempts, as they have planned, not realizing, they need to change their actions radically. π·πΊ is literally breaking all military rules, making all possible mistakes.
Kherson:
πΊπ¦ slowly and methodically kicking π·πΊ, and destroying river crossings. π·πΊ army requiring 4000 tons of supplies per day are receiving only 1300-1400 tons. They are in a trap, partially due to Feygin-Arestovych broadcast.
π·πΊ counterattack:
As expected, π·πΊ attempted to bring reserves to Kharkiv district, including part 3rd army corps, but they are badly organized, lacking knowledge, entering battle from movement in total chaos. Only 1 π·πΊ commander attempted to follow military science, and concentrate forces, but that concentration was immediately bombed by πΊπ¦. Everything, that could have caused problems for πΊπ¦ offensive is disorganized and getting destroyed.
π·πΊ options:
π·πΊ does not have any options left: Total mobilization would be the fastest way to destroy π·πΊ. The use of nuclear weapons would get an immediate response from the West. Strategic aviation won’t be able to find πΊπ¦ infantry in forests. π·πΊ can ask for peace, but πΊπ¦ might not agree.
π·πΊ security council:
Possible π·πΊ military actions would be to relocate (5 days+, after which πΊπ¦ would attack in their previous location), retreat and reduce the front-line length, and close flanks. The military is likely to suggest treating Kherson and Izium groups as losses, accounting for 1/6th of the total army size. Most likely π·πΊ would continue using the same strategy, leading to the same results.
Call to π·πΊ troops:
You are getting blamed, and now you either get buried in πΊπ¦, or you can bury Putin in civil war.
Ramstein meeting:
Some very exciting news, unfortunately, details can not be revealed. Winter is going to look fantastic, if π·πΊ live that long. πΊπ¦ has nothing to worry about
π·πΊ regional elections:
Various opposition groups are calling to boycott or write “No war” on ballots.
πͺπΊ Visas:
πͺπΊ ceased simplified visa procedure. πͺπͺπ±π»π±πΉBaltics and π΅π± are not allowing most tourist visa holders through, expecting πΉπ· Turkey to also decrease throughput to πͺπΊ.