Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis: @savaadaak

English voice-over video by Privateer Station:

Original video in Russian:

Chaplyne rail bombing:

🇷🇺 likely attempted to hit military cargo, but missed due to stupidity and no responsibility for civilian causalities. This is not the first, and unfortunately not the last such event. All 🇺🇦 hits are carefully planned, not emotional. 🇺🇦 retaliation hits (only small part) are: fuel warehouse near Popasna, command post near Kherson.

🇺🇦 hits (June 28th – Augst 23rd):

• 154 ammo warehouses
• 91 equipment bases
• 4 barracks
• 4 oil warehouses
• 8 command posts
• 5 headquarters of higher level

Battlefield update:

Kherson:

🇷🇺 trying to push back 🇺🇦 at south road, captured Blahodatne, attempted to advance further, but got repelled and stopped. Warehouse burning in Nova Kahovka.

Izium:

🇷🇺 grouping woke up, and attempts to advance at Pryshyb. It has been noticed multiple times, when their objective is (fore example) to reach Sloviansk, they advance in straight line – no attempts, to adjust to terrain.

🇷🇺 offensive:

Offensive was planned on 10th of August, but due to attacks in Crimea they lost air-support, and postponed offensive until more favorable conditions.

Zaporozhye NPP:

Automatic safety systems kicked in due to arson, this is what it’s supposed to do. Now 🇷🇺 trying to fix power line from nearby thermal electric plant, and restart nuclear reactors.

Order to increase 🇷🇺 army:

Kremlin thinks, country can be ruled with orders. 🇷🇺 didn’t even fill 3rd army corps with 15k personnel, it was 5k short. There’s nowhere to get that many officers, their training takes 10/15/20 years. This order will not be executed, and not executing orders will lead to catastrophic consequences of authority.

Deescalation:

🇷🇺 has postponed trial of captured Azov fighters, Kherson referendum seems also “postponed”. 🇷🇺 is really working for deescalation and peace talks. It’s not good idea to talk about obvious things, but Arestovych revealed something obvious in Latynina broadcast today. Many 🇷🇺 officials mention negotiations in seemingly random context.

Weapons:

Yesterday’s 🇺🇸 weapons list has 3 hidden positions. After 4th Rammstein meeting, new weapons stopped getting announced. [Hand gestures, depicting sneaky approach, then hit 25:34 ] It is visible, that both defensive and offensive weapons are being delivered. A lot of counter-artillery radars allowing to win artillery duels.
245k shells, which with ratio 1:6 equals 1.5 million 🇷🇺 shells, that is clearly not only for defense. More air defense, which would be needed for covering large groupings.

Missile attacks:

Kryvyi Rih, Kharkiv, Mykolaiv have risk of Tornado and Grad attacks. Theoretically Grad missiles can be intercepted, it’s even done as part of air-defense training, but intercepting a volley of 40 missiles would be incredibly expensive, doing that would loose the war in few weeks. Ballistic and cruise missiles are getting intercepted, but most damage comes from cheap unguided missiles and howitzers, due to distance to front-line.
The only solution is to completely push out 🇷🇺 forces, and even then Kharkiv will get bombed over the border until last day of war.

Next broadcast on Saturday (something unusual happening tomorrow)