Day 161, August 3. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast

Posted on 04 August 2022

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by Atis

Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:Β @savaadaak

English voice-over video byΒ Privateer Station:

Original video in Russian:

Arestovych is having birthday πŸ₯³

Battlefield update:

No significant changes. Important actions will start in a week. All current actions are of local importance, however they have targets and results.
Kharkiv: local battles, shelling of city. Yesterday 7 out of 8 missiles intercepted.
Izium: relatively quiet, local battles near Sviatohirsk-Prishyb.
Siversk: πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attepmpts near Serbrianka, not very successful
Bakhmut: πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί movements near Volodymyrivka and Pokrovske, slow but persistent hundreds of meters per day
Holmivsky: πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί pressing on Travneve from flank – hard, but πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ holding. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί dream is to encircle from Klynove to Zaitseve
Avdiivka: πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί trying to surround from north (Vesele-Lastochkyne) and south (Spartak, Pisky) simultaneously. In the morning πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ artillery arrived, and started to send good messages.
Marinka: πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ got moved during maneuver defense.

South:

War looks very different, when viewed from individual solder level, brigade level and strategic level. All πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attempts near Donetsk are to provoke πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ into bringing reserves there instead of actual direction of attack. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is concentrating forces in Melitopol-Tokmak and Kherson. It doesn’t make easier for solders getting hit with 152mm artillery, but all other directions are tasked with distractions. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ prepares for πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί offensive by hitting πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί warehouses and logistics and troop concentrations.
πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ partisans, special forces and military intel working in harmony. Every time, there is some large hit, it’s also hard work of unnamed people.
These broadcasts will become “explosive” sometime next week, when πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί offensive starts. Possibly πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί will do careful targeted attacks, right now πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί are trying to wear out most battle-ready πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ forces, to get into stalemate. Overall objective in grain talks, Balkans, and so on is to force πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ into negotiations.

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ Success:

πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is afraid of any πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ success, that will be breaking point of morale for whole campaign. Everything is held together by illusion of πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί doing offensive, that’s why πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί propaganda is showing off every 100 meters of captured territory. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is inadvertently announcing, that it can’t continue battle. They can continue pressure, wearing out, but they are afraid of any πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ victory. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ task is to get that victory anywhere, and it’s moving towards that.

Zelensky speech:

In dramatic speech Zelensky said that east of πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ is hell, and called for civilians to evacuate.
It’s an honor to infantry, who is spending hours in heavy shelling, he is well informed of what’s happening. The same what’s now happening in Pesky-Bakhmut, was happening at Izium-Popasna for 2.5 months every day. It’s now much better, πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ has HIMARS, plenty of artillery shells. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί needs to concentrate forces and efforts, to make it hard for πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, which it previously did not.
President expressed that: he knows it, there are measures being taken, solders are honored and taken care of.
It’s planned to evacuate 200k civilians, because πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is using barbaric indiscriminate attacks, not because πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ is about to lose those cities.

Olenivka:

πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡³UN about to investigate bombing. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί started complaining about πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί POWs. It’s predicted tactic of using the same accusations. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί now plans to make maximum gain of crime.

πŸ‡¦πŸ‡²πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ Nagorno-Karabakh:

After last clash in 2020, πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ Azerbaijan realized it can’t complete, and took a pause, just like πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί now plans in πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦. Instead of supporting πŸ‡¦πŸ‡² Armenia, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί started working on it’s interests, and obtaining a corridor to sea through Nakchivan and πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡·. πŸ‡¦πŸ‡Ώ Azerbaijan will try to improve it’s positions and obtain maximal gain. At such small wars even single hilltop can change a lot. There probably isn’t going to be decisive victory, it’s going to be negotiations and attempts to trade. There have been many analytics, and the conclusion is simple – everyone would agree to something, if there wasn’t πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Moscow involved. Conflict is very advantageous to πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί, it can constantly pretend to guarantee something. It’s the same with every ex-USSR conflict – πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί first organizes it, then comes with guarantees of peace.

Side note:

15th brigade from πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί Samara, which was doing peacekeeping in Nagorno-Karabakh was nearly destroyed twice in πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦, and one of first largest POW captures [sudden stop, sounds like he said too much].

Other:

Swag shop has gathered funds for assisting 3-4 more people, hopefully new items next week, including baseball caps. The amount given to each (2000€) doesn’t solve everything, but helps each family to get out of a pit.
There is planned broadcast tomorrow, despite being Thursday.




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