Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis: https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video by Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Kharkiv: 🇷🇺 forces activated near Veterynarne and Dementiivka, got kicked back. Attempts on Rubizhne, also repelled. Significant 🇷🇺 activity from Balakliia to Husarivka, but this is to counter 🇺🇦 flanking attempt on Izium group 3 days ago.
Izium-Sloviansk: Same locations, same attempts. This will go into history as most battle-ready grouping, not having any advances for 90 days.
Lyman: 🇷🇺 quiet, moved forces, preparing to flank Siversk
Siversk-Bakhmut: 🇷🇺 attempts from Spirne, Bilohorivka, Volodymyrivka, Klynove, all repelled.
Vuhlehirska coal power station: 🇷🇺 have some limited success
Avdiivka, Marinka: same unsuccessful 🇷🇺 attempts
Zaporozhye: fire exchange and small tactical actions
Kherson: 🇷🇺 failed attempts to attack 🇺🇦 foothold south of Davydyv Brid. 🇷🇺 bringing reinforcements to Kherson area for 3 days already using Khakovka dam. Antonovsky bridge is temporarily closed due to damage. Many things happening, results should be visible in few days.
Vysykopillia: 🇺🇦 did some mistakes, 🇷🇺 brought artillery and aviation, situation equalized – 🇷🇺 can not counter-attack, 🇺🇦 can not capture. Who will bring reserves first, will win.
Lavrov expressing weird comments, as the agreement doesn’t benefit 🇷🇺 in any way. Softening of sanctions are only in perspective. Agreement is done between 🇷🇺, 🇹🇷 and UN. If 🇷🇺 acts bad, they can get reaction from 🇹🇷, or 🇺🇦 can fire Harpoon missile at any time. Looks like 🇷🇺 want new and more favorable agreement, on basis that current is not working.
Grain is currently exported from Izmail port. Sea is easiest and cheapest, but there are other routes.
🇷🇺 Equipment destroyed:
1730 tanks = 54 battalions of equipment, 3950 armored vehicles = 124 battalions of equipment. Total 35 mechanized infantry regiments and 10 tank regiments or 10 mechanized infantry divisions, or 5 armies out of 10 for 🇷🇺. Additionally 14 divisions of MLRS, 70 divisions of artillery.
3 out of 15 Flugabwehrkanonenpanzer Gepard have arrived in 🇺🇦
🇸🇰 Slovakia providing 11x Mi-29 upgraded to NATO compatibility.
🇺🇦 plans rebuilding runways to support F-16 aircraft
F-15/F-16 is not like USSR aircraft, it’s a platform with targeting integration from satellites to ground forces, many different types of weapons, worth 5x HIMARS. If they arrive in significant quantities, HIMARS will have a break. Air battles are guaranteed to be won.
🇷🇺 started with advantage in air, hoping for air superiority, yet they are now rarely crossing 🇺🇦 airspace. Now there’s a chance that 🇷🇺 will be haunted through border (missiles don’t obey country borders).
However it seems, that 🇺🇦 will win before they get F-15 or F-16. If not, their arrival will be spectacular.
25th Paratrooper brigade hit 2x 🇷🇺 Su-25 and 1x Ka-52 in last 2 days
Rumors of Arestovych quitting:
Some people don’t understand that #Arestovych is sometimes literally paying for analytics that are needed for his job.
When he quits, he will start talking without censorship, only hiding national secrets.
🇷🇺 doing mobilization of medical personnel, all 🇷🇺 military hospitals are full.
🇫🇮 Finland parliament discussing to stop issuing visas to 🇷🇺 tourists.
🇪🇺 considers including 🇺🇦 war in visa questions list.
Swag shop: € 2000 sent to Oleksiv whose wife died in Vinnytsia, and kid got heavy burns.
There will be no broadcasts on Tuesday and Thursday.