Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Battlefield update:
Kharkiv: ๐ท๐บ forces activated near Veterynarne and Dementiivka, got kicked back. Attempts on Rubizhne, also repelled. Significant ๐ท๐บ activity from Balakliia to Husarivka, but this is to counter ๐บ๐ฆ flanking attempt on Izium group 3 days ago.
Izium-Sloviansk: Same locations, same attempts. This will go into history as most battle-ready grouping, not having any advances for 90 days.
Lyman: ๐ท๐บ quiet, moved forces, preparing to flank Siversk
Siversk-Bakhmut: ๐ท๐บ attempts from Spirne, Bilohorivka, Volodymyrivka, Klynove, all repelled.
Vuhlehirska coal power station: ๐ท๐บ have some limited success
Avdiivka, Marinka: same unsuccessful ๐ท๐บ attempts
Zaporozhye: fire exchange and small tactical actions
Kherson: ๐ท๐บ failed attempts to attack ๐บ๐ฆ foothold south of Davydyv Brid. ๐ท๐บ bringing reinforcements to Kherson area for 3 days already using Khakovka dam. Antonovsky bridge is temporarily closed due to damage. Many things happening, results should be visible in few days.
Vysykopillia: ๐บ๐ฆ did some mistakes, ๐ท๐บ brought artillery and aviation, situation equalized – ๐ท๐บ can not counter-attack, ๐บ๐ฆ can not capture. Who will bring reserves first, will win.
Istambul agreement:
Lavrov expressing weird comments, as the agreement doesn’t benefit ๐ท๐บ in any way. Softening of sanctions are only in perspective. Agreement is done between ๐ท๐บ, ๐น๐ท and UN. If ๐ท๐บ acts bad, they can get reaction from ๐น๐ท, or ๐บ๐ฆ can fire Harpoon missile at any time. Looks like ๐ท๐บ want new and more favorable agreement, on basis that current is not working.
Grain is currently exported from Izmail port. Sea is easiest and cheapest, but there are other routes.
๐ท๐บ Equipment destroyed:
1730 tanks = 54 battalions of equipment, 3950 armored vehicles = 124 battalions of equipment. Total 35 mechanized infantry regiments and 10 tank regiments or 10 mechanized infantry divisions, or 5 armies out of 10 for ๐ท๐บ. Additionally 14 divisions of MLRS, 70 divisions of artillery.
Weapons:
3 out of 15 Flugabwehrkanonenpanzer Gepard have arrived in ๐บ๐ฆ
๐ธ๐ฐ Slovakia providing 11x Mi-29 upgraded to NATO compatibility.
๐บ๐ฆ plans rebuilding runways to support F-16 aircraft
Aircraft:
F-15/F-16 is not like USSR aircraft, it’s a platform with targeting integration from satellites to ground forces, many different types of weapons, worth 5x HIMARS. If they arrive in significant quantities, HIMARS will have a break. Air battles are guaranteed to be won.
๐ท๐บ started with advantage in air, hoping for air superiority, yet they are now rarely crossing ๐บ๐ฆ airspace. Now there’s a chance that ๐ท๐บ will be haunted through border (missiles don’t obey country borders).
However it seems, that ๐บ๐ฆ will win before they get F-15 or F-16. If not, their arrival will be spectacular.
25th Paratrooper brigade hit 2x ๐ท๐บ Su-25 and 1x Ka-52 in last 2 days
Rumors of Arestovych quitting:
Some people don’t understand that #Arestovych is sometimes literally paying for analytics that are needed for his job.
When he quits, he will start talking without censorship, only hiding national secrets.
Other:
๐ท๐บ doing mobilization of medical personnel, all ๐ท๐บ military hospitals are full.
๐ซ๐ฎ Finland parliament discussing to stop issuing visas to ๐ท๐บ tourists.
๐ช๐บ considers including ๐บ๐ฆ war in visa questions list.
Swag shop: โฌ 2000 sent to Oleksiv whose wife died in Vinnytsia, and kid got heavy burns.
There will be no broadcasts on Tuesday and Thursday.
