Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:Β https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video byΒ Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Battlefield update:
Kharkiv: πΊπ¦ Special Forces unit destroyed a Russian π·πΊ unit near Dementiivka, resulting in 36 killed, and the commander captured alive.
Izium-Sloviansk: Battles at the border of Bohorodychne village, no significant changes.
Siversk: Most interesting situation, yesterday 3 Russian assault attempts near Hryhorivka and Verkhnokamianske, π·πΊ military bloggers reporting no success (requesting drones to adjust artillery).
Bakhmut-Popasna: Battles near Bilohorivka. Russians report cutting off the M-03 road and πΊπ¦ units near Semyhiria (South of Bakhmut), however this cutting off doesn’t mean anything yet. π·πΊ is playing the same moves again and again, expecting πΊπ¦ to retreat without street battles (as consequence of heavy losses in Sievierodonetsk). π·πΊ still has some inertia, but the prospects are not looking good for them.
Avdiivka: π·πΊ reached road H-20, but it’s not been used for supplies for a while. First 100 days π·πΊ stormed Avdiivka frontally without advances, estimating about 10k died in this area out of total 30k L/DPR losses.
Zaporozhye: no significant changes.
Kherson: artillery battles, no ground changes. πΊπ¦ bombed near Nova Khakovka, Beryslav and few other locations.
πΊπ¦ officials suspended:
Security Service (SBU) head and Prosecutor General suspended during investigation. SBU has complicated ongoing transformations, as there are many highly patriotic professionals, but also many who are doubtful, corrupt, collaborating. Yesterday former SBU Crimea branch head was arrested. SBU is not the type of organisation, where the director controls everything, many things can be hidden under pretence of national secrets or operative information.
60 government officials continue working for π·πΊ in occupied territories, there are almost 700 cases of treason, collaboration, etc.
President Zelensky is not satisfied with speed of investigations of treason and collaboration. 2 months ago there was 12k such cases.
Istambul negotiations:
π·πΊ requested minesweeping. Rumours of πΊπ¦ giving up in the war and signing peace treaty are baseless. In previous negotiations π·πΊ blatantly requested insane demands, while πΊπ¦, π«π·, π©πͺ delegations are trying hold their laughter. As per Kuleba, there will be no negotiations.
π·πΊ Psy Ops:
Russia conducting active psyops operations in Ukraine. For example, yesterday π·πΊ had 5 small tactical losses, 2 hits near Izium, during an attack. Today, facebook posts appear from “relatives” that some πΊπ¦ units are under constant crossfire, asking to save that specific unit. Investigation takes place and everything appears to be ok – yes, sometimes friendly fire happens, sometimes there are wounded, but the unit is generally fine. Whenever these social media posts appear it indicates that πΊπ¦ is having some success. π·πΊ security services are good at generating this. Recently there was a fake post about 200 Wagner operatives, speaking fluent πΊπ¦, who entered Donetsk and Poltava Oblasts in search of HIMARS complexes. Some πΊπ¦ services even got fooled.
Russia is plateauing. Evidence for this are examples of the psyops: “π§πΎ is planning to attack”, “Siversk has been captured”, “street battles near Bakhmut”, “HIMARS has been sold”, “winter will be difficult”, “supplies to Ukraine will stop” etc.
Criminals in Wagner:
π¬π§ intelligence report of criminals being recruited to Wagner PMC. No confirmation of them actually fighting, but recruitment fact is known. People with clear criminal background are unlikely to be among their ranks, however there might be amateurs, such as people with accidental murder – not significant amount, and most likely bringing psychological issues to units. π·πΊ is approaching limit for mobilisation capabilities.
πΊπ¦ Zaluzhnyi reporting that front line has stabilised.
Feygin & Arestovych swag shop: new item – apron. Profits are donated to πΊπ¦s who have been wounded or in need. [link EMEA] [link Americas/Africa/Pacific]