Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis: https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video by Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Kharkiv: 🇷🇺 attempting to move west from Kozacha Lopan on Svitlichne. Attempt at Dementiivka got repelled. More usual attempts near Borschova, Ternova. Still bombing Kharkiv city, damaging city and killing civilians.
Izium: Unsuccessful attemtps near Mazanivka, Dolyna. Few hundred meters advance near Bohorodychne. Same as before attempts near Sviatohirsk, Prishyb, attempting to create tactical level encirclement.
Siversk: 🇷🇺 attacking near Siversky Donetsk river, in direction of Hryhorivka and Serebrianka, expecting to create river crossing. Vernokamianske moving on Siversk, while near Zakitne waiting for proper situation to cross river.
Popasna: 🇷🇺 attempts to take full control on Bilohorivka [different one], intent to move on Rozdolivka, northern part of Soledar
Svitlodarsk: 🇷🇺 unsuccessfully attempting to cut off 🇺🇦 forces near Kodema and Semyhiria, to reach Bakhmut from south, using same tactics as near Sievierodonetsk.
Avdiivka: 🇷🇺 attempts on New York, Nelipivka and on Novabakhmutivka to cause issues for Avdiivka defense.
Marinka, Vuhledar: tactical movements
Zaporozhye: tactical actions
Kherson: 🇺🇦 mercilessly bombing rear, warehouses, destroying personnel and ammo.
Last 24 hours destroyed warehouses in Donetsk (2x), Nova Khakovka (again), Kirovsky District, Kherson district and more. Air defense missile supplies hit in Luhansk area, when damaged those missiles can fly somewhere 1-3km. A battalion or brigade stationed nearby reportedly also damaged in secondary explosions.
Last week over 50 hits, all successful. Intercepted calls and other communications are near panic – huge losses, and no idea what to do.
It is game-changing weapon. Since 2008, 🇷🇺 has spent billions $ to improve their army, yet 10 vehicles can change everything. It should never happen to any military, it shows how much corruption is happening to build fake army.
Discussions for obtaining 300km ATACMS missiles.
More reports on destroyed 🇷🇺 ammo depots: Luhansk, Chornobaivka, Makiivka, Chaplinka, Horlivka.
From July 1st-10th, in Luhansk and Donetsk hospitals (only 2 directions out of 6) received 543 wounded solders, from those 187 🇷🇺 regular forces, 332 from 1st/2nd corps, 24 non-identified, possibly Wagner. Not accounted Rosguardia, Border guards, FSB and missing/not evacuated. Real losses are estimated doubled – 1000 in 10 days.
Izium-Bakhmut have approx 40-50 non-full BTGs, estimating about 20-25k solders, taking losses 1k every 10 days. Units losing battle capabilities in about month.
Estimated over 50k solders and other 🇷🇺 personnel killed, additional 22k from LNR/DNR killed. Total losses approaching 100k. What for?
Poll – 🇷🇺 citizens don’t want to finance 🇷🇺 army [link]:
63.4% won’t help, 8.4% would help with 10% of their income.
55% called victory senseless.
45% feeling increased anxiety, depression and bad mood.
Poll shows, that mobilization can’t be done, can’t even escalate.
🇷🇺 emergency meeting:
Emergency meeting to be held on 15th of July. Anything that 🇷🇺 can do now, will be 30 times weaker than in 24th February. Meanwhile 🇺🇦 is 100 times better prepared, better weapons. Most likely firing some officials, social-economical changes, asking citizens to tighten belts, possibly blaming and/or firing government.
🇷🇺 has understood, it has lost, possibly now taking measures of after war. Some officials might think, that they can hold onto Luhansk and Donetsk districts, use them as leverage in negotiations. It’s largest wave since April, when 🇷🇺 trying to negotiate.
🇩🇪 published list: 3 PzH-2000, 3 MARS MLRS, 8 mobile radars, 10 drone boats, 43 drones, 54 upgraded APCs from 🇩🇰 Denmark, 30 Gepard air-defense systems, IRIS-T air-defense system, 80 pickup trucks, 4 demining robots, ammo and more [link].
🇺🇸 Biden visiting 🇮🇱 Israel, possibly trying to make weapons deal for 🇺🇦. 🇮🇱 has a lot of old USSR infantry weapons, most likely such transfer won’t be published anywhere.
Ramstein meeting on 20th of July, topic – armored vehicles, air defense.
🇷🇺 army had advantage in artillery and armored vehicles. Artillery advantage is now solved, 🇺🇦 needs more armored vehicles. When 🇺🇦 has enough armored vehicles, it will be ready for offensive. Until then 🇺🇦 is wearing out 🇷🇺 on built up defense.
🇷🇺 started to dig trenches near Antonovskiy Bridge in Kherson. It looks like Kherson is already lost in 🇷🇺 minds.
Again rumors on possible plan to kill Lukashenka, and replace with someone controlled by Putin. Highly unlikely, as 🇧🇾 would not be able to attack then due to internal politics and riots. Problems would start, if 🇷🇺 army would enter 🇧🇾, but 🇷🇺 doesn’t have enough army. In mobilization drill, 90% refused to arrive in war commissariat.
🇪🇺 starts sanction discussions on 18th July.
There will be no broadcast tomorrow.