Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Battlefield update:
๐ท๐บ attempted to attack on Bohorodychne near Izium, lost 12 tanks, 200 solders, did not gain anything
Warehouse attacks:
๐บ๐ฆ keeps destroying ๐ท๐บ warehouses and command posts mostly with M142 HIMARS. In last 24 hours Kherson, Donetsk (Topaz), Nova Khakovka, Shakhtarsk (evacuation due to explosions). There are enough HIMARS, to use them for 1st priority targets – any operational significance warehouse, over 20 in last 2 weeks. ๐ท๐บ starting to shift warehouses away from front-line. If trucks can do 3 supply trips per day, it’s ok for offensive, 2 or 1 trips per day is to barely keep positions. Supply trucks can do 3 trips per day at distance 60km, 2 trips at 90km and 1 trip at 120km. HIMARS does reach over 60 km, so ๐ท๐บ won’t be able to use 45k shells per day. The only solution for ๐ท๐บ would be to start hunt on HIMARS using special forces, counter-battery radars and aviation, but that is easier said than done, success is unlikely. Of course it is war, it’s possible that ๐บ๐ฆ will loose 1-2 vehicles.
๐บ๐ฆ is working to increase availability, and can start targeting tactical level objectives.
Weapons:
๐บ๐ธ sending 4 more M142 HIMARS, AN/TPQ series counter-artillery radars
Curently 9 HIMARS systems, with ๐ฌ๐ง, ๐ณ๐ด, ๐ฉ๐ช total could go over 20.
Report of rogue ๐ท๐บ selling several 2S35 self-propelled howitzers to ๐บ๐ฆ for $150k each. Possibly stolen. If true, most likely they would go to research, rather than battle.
If any ๐ท๐บ solder wants to sell their equipment, ๐บ๐ฆ is still ready to buy military equipment. There was at least 1 tank bought from ๐ท๐บ solder surrendering.
Crimea bridge:
No information, how many Harpoon missiles in ๐บ๐ฆ, if they should be saved for naval threats. Unclear what damage would they make. HIMARS doesn’t have ATACMS munition to reach bridge.
๐ฌ๐ง UK Politics:
Every commentator or columnist wants to have something fresh, and say that situation is getting complicated. NATO, ๐ช๐บ and G7 are writing large programs, and granting help, versus some writer saying “assistance could decrease”
G20 meeting:
Lavrov got humiliated and ignored. Putin will only participate via video call.
๐บ๐ฆ Internal politics:
Males are still not allowed to leave country, although categories allowed increasing. New law will allow sailors to leave for work. It seems weird to not trust it’s own people, army doesn’t need people without motivation, who would run from country anyway.
New gun laws in discussion, currently 100k automatic weapons are given to population, no incidents. Elite sniper weapons can be bought as hunting rifles. Hidden carry not allowed.
๐บ๐ฆ is considering ๐จ๐ญSwiss or ๐ฎ๐ฑ Israel system, when everyone should have weapons at home, or available in warehouses immediately in case of danger. If war repeats in 10 years, columns would be in same locations, need to make sure partisans have access to weapons.
40k+ women already in ๐บ๐ฆ army, all professions – navy, pilots, artillery, tank crew, snipers. Desire to change school programs, to include military training, aim for total resistance. Target spotting and correction is a must-know.