Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis: https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video by Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Kharkiv: 🇷🇺 slowed down, still shelling from regular artillery, MLRS, Iskander missiles. North of Kharkiv today was even air-strike. Air-defense is working, it can somewhat hit Iskander and Kalibr missiles (recently 2-3 intercepted out of 5-6), but can’t fight against unguided MLRS, like BM-21 GRAD, it would be impossibly expensive to intercept those.
Some counter-artillery shots are being done, if attackers are in 🇺🇦 territory. If they happen to be in 🇷🇺 territory, there are smoking accidents, but not always, as they are in populated areas, covered by air-defense, masking.
Izium: 🇷🇺 had tiny advance near Mazanivka, nothing systematic.
Lysychansk: Bilohorivka still not captured by 🇷🇺, thus not all Luhansk district is controlled.
Bakhmut: active battles on road M-03, unsuccessful 🇷🇺 attempts to move from Svitlodarsk to Bakhmut.
Avdiivka: 🇷🇺 had some tactical level advances north of Avdiivka, attempts to cut off road H-20.
Zaporozhye: 🇺🇦 has advances, 🇷🇺 trying to regroup and dig in.
Kherson: significant artillery battles, 🇷🇺 brought 2 BTGs from Zaporozhye direction, trying to stop 🇺🇦 forces near Vysokopyllia and Arkhanhelske. 🇺🇦 having tactical level advances, not counter-offensive.
🇷🇺 peak capabilities was 2-3 weeks ago, during Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk operation. There are still no fresh reserves from 🇷🇺 territory, only relocation of existing forces. This is sad for the side, who still thinks they are attacking. Pause means big troubles for 🇷🇺 soon – they have to move existing forces some 300km (Kherson-Zaporozhye) or even more (Izium-Bakhmut). 🇷🇺 not having rest, trying to capture all villages where 🇺🇦 has retreated, yet falling under artillery fire [sounds like 🇺🇦 setting up artillery traps].
🇺🇦 attack intensity increasing, due to having plenty of ammo. 1-1.5 months ago there was lack of ammo, 🇺🇦 division (18 howitzers) used 100 shells per day against 2000 of 🇷🇺 division. There have been days, when 🇷🇺 used 45 000 shells near Izium-Popasna by 360 howitzers in 20 divisions. 🇺🇦 response would be 1000-2000 shells per day.
Recently many 🇷🇺 warehouses, command posts, camps in deep rear have started to blow up, from some north-west wind. 🇷🇺 army is facing painful changes in tempo, capabilities, depth, intensity of operation, due to only 4 M142 HIMARS. 🇷🇺 has spent billions to build army, that can be countered so easily. Now imagine if 🇺🇦 got 50 HIMARS, they would soon reach Ural mountains. Currently HIMARS are driving around a lot, they are very mobile.
Today 🇺🇦 air-defense started working significantly better. Near Dnipro intercepted 6 out of 7 missiles, at Ochakiv, Mykolaiv district destroyed 3 out of 3 missiles. Somehow better targeting. Just-in, 4 missiles launched from Black sea, 3 intercepted.
In 🇷🇺 Bryansk district, 3 unidentified persons opened fire on OMON [Police special forces], looks like actual partisan movement.
M270 have still not arrived, only 4 M142 HIMARS for now.
🇬🇧 pledged 10 self-propelled howitzers (almost 2 brigades)
Moskva sailor’s Dmitri Shkrebets father who was highly supportive of 🇷🇺 army, went to join Freedom of Russia Legion. Application hasn’t been received yet [hasn’t been online for 2 days]
🇬🇧 considering confiscating 🇷🇺 owned properties, which would be significant source of reparations. Yermak-McFaul group has achieved of 48-49% tasks, however West is all about protecting private property, it’s going to take hard work to actually confiscate something.
🇨🇭Switzerland agreed on sanctions, however they need to verify that accounts actually are used to support or finance war, before blocking them, it’s going to take a while.
🇨🇳 Xi Jinping refused visit in 🇷🇺.