Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย https://twitter.com/savaadaak.
English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:
Original video in Russian:
Battlefield update:
Today 4 large ๐ท๐บ ammo warehouses destroyed – to celebrate Independence day.
Vuhledar: ๐บ๐ฆ bombing ๐ท๐บ positions
Zaporozhye: ๐บ๐ฆ slowly advancing (15km)
Kherson: ๐บ๐ฆ slowly advancing, and heavily bombing ๐ท๐บ positions with artillery
Melitopol: ๐ท๐บ decided to use airport, it got bombed by ๐บ๐ฆ several times. Dozens of killed, a lot of ammo blown up. ๐บ๐ฆ methodically destroys all ammo warehouses. Fresh report of bridge blown up.
Lysychansk:
๐บ๐ฆ retreated, front line now near Bilohorivka. As front-line getting straighter, ๐ท๐บ will need to do frontal attacks, which by the example of Izium-Dolyna are not successful.
๐ท๐บ achieved objective reaching Luhansk district borders (almost, still grey zone), while ๐บ๐ฆ achieved objectives of damaging, delaying time to await western aid, and concentrating 60% ๐ท๐บ forces here, to allow possible counterattacks near Vuhledar, Zaporozhye and Kherson. Month ago ๐ท๐บ was attacking in 5 directions out of 6, now 3 ๐ท๐บ, 3 ๐บ๐ฆ.
๐ท๐บ losses are in order of 3 brigades (2500 people) and 2-3 tank battalions. Total over 7000 killed. ๐บ๐ฆ verifies it’s data through intelligence agencies. LNR militia losses are over 55%
๐ท๐บ 18th Machine Gun Artillery Division from Sakhalin (๐ฏ๐ต Japan) got involved in ๐บ๐ฆ.
๐ท๐บ 200th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade is being refilled with “volunteers” from ship crews.
This shows damage done to ๐ท๐บ army during capture of Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk.
๐บ๐ฆ will get territory back, but ๐ท๐บ won’t get their killed solders back.
This is last large success of ๐ท๐บ army, they will take some villages or small city, but that’s it.
Rubezhne-Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk conglomeration is in size of average city. ๐ท๐บ put a lot of effort, 60% of their forces, even hidden partial mobilization, 45k artillery shells per day, and it took 90 days (from April 4th) to capture. Even capture was due to ๐บ๐ฆ retreat, ๐ท๐บ attacked empty city for 2 days.
Crimea bridge:
๐ท๐บ previously did emergency drill, now brought barge with mirrors to deflect possible missile attack. ๐บ๐ฆ currently doesn’t have missiles to reach Crimea bridge.
Missile attacks:
Last week in ๐บ๐ฆ, 61 civilians killed, 131 wounded. ๐ท๐บ started using missiles with cluster munition against Sloviansk and Kramatorsk.
Explosions in ๐ท๐บ are in no way related, ๐บ๐ฆ only strikes military targets. There have been situations, when ๐ท๐บ citizens were hurt as a result of ๐ท๐บ own anti-air missiles.
NATO:
Tomorrow ๐ซ๐ฎ and ๐ธ๐ช signing NATO membership, without MAP (Membership Action Plan), they were accepted even being threatened. Now ๐บ๐ฆ has extra arguments. ๐บ๐ฆ constitution states, that joining NATO is ๐บ๐ฆ objective. NATO is not united about ๐บ๐ฆ membership, internal opinions differ. However, such resistance was also for accepting ๐ฑ๐น๐ฑ๐ป๐ช๐ช Baltics, ๐ต๐ฑ Poland, ๐จ๐ฟCzech, always some people think it’s unnecessary and complicated.
Real progress is ๐ช๐บ membership, ๐บ๐ฆ signing 10+ laws to speed up process. ๐ช๐บ members have easier way getting accepted into NATO.
Weapons:
It turns out, there is not enough weapons in west for large continental war. ๐บ๐ฆ needs much more than ๐ฆ๐ซ Afghanistan or ๐ฎ๐ถIraq. Now some factories are working 3-4 shifts.
Sanctions:
7th package is being planned to get reviewed (not accepted) in a month.
Problem is with filling natural gas storage in ๐ช๐บ, reports of storage being 60% full, it might cause problems, but not totally critical.