Day 131, July 4. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast

Posted on 04 July 2022

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by Atis

Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis:ย https://twitter.com/savaadaak.

English voice-over video byย Privateer Station:

Original video in Russian:

Battlefield update:

Today 4 large ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ ammo warehouses destroyed – to celebrate Independence day.

Vuhledar: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ bombing ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ positions
Zaporozhye: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ slowly advancing (15km)
Kherson: ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ slowly advancing, and heavily bombing ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ positions with artillery
Melitopol: ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ decided to use airport, it got bombed by ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ several times. Dozens of killed, a lot of ammo blown up. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ methodically destroys all ammo warehouses. Fresh report of bridge blown up.

Lysychansk:

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retreated, front line now near Bilohorivka. As front-line getting straighter, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ will need to do frontal attacks, which by the example of Izium-Dolyna are not successful.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ achieved objective reaching Luhansk district borders (almost, still grey zone), while ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ achieved objectives of damaging, delaying time to await western aid, and concentrating 60% ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ forces here, to allow possible counterattacks near Vuhledar, Zaporozhye and Kherson. Month ago ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ was attacking in 5 directions out of 6, now 3 ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ, 3 ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ losses are in order of 3 brigades (2500 people) and 2-3 tank battalions. Total over 7000 killed. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ verifies it’s data through intelligence agencies. LNR militia losses are over 55%
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 18th Machine Gun Artillery Division from Sakhalin (๐Ÿ‡ฏ๐Ÿ‡ต Japan) got involved in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ.
๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ 200th Separate Motor Rifle Brigade is being refilled with “volunteers” from ship crews.
This shows damage done to ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ army during capture of Sievierodonetsk/Lysychansk.
๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ will get territory back, but ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ won’t get their killed solders back.
This is last large success of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ army, they will take some villages or small city, but that’s it.
Rubezhne-Sievierodonetsk-Lysychansk conglomeration is in size of average city. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ put a lot of effort, 60% of their forces, even hidden partial mobilization, 45k artillery shells per day, and it took 90 days (from April 4th) to capture. Even capture was due to ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retreat, ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ attacked empty city for 2 days.

Crimea bridge:

๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ previously did emergency drill, now brought barge with mirrors to deflect possible missile attack. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ currently doesn’t have missiles to reach Crimea bridge.

Missile attacks:

Last week in ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ, 61 civilians killed, 131 wounded. ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ started using missiles with cluster munition against Sloviansk and Kramatorsk.
Explosions in ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ are in no way related, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ only strikes military targets. There have been situations, when ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ citizens were hurt as a result of ๐Ÿ‡ท๐Ÿ‡บ own anti-air missiles.

NATO:

Tomorrow ๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ and ๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ช signing NATO membership, without MAP (Membership Action Plan), they were accepted even being threatened. Now ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ has extra arguments. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ constitution states, that joining NATO is ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ objective. NATO is not united about ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ membership, internal opinions differ. However, such resistance was also for accepting ๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡น๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Baltics, ๐Ÿ‡ต๐Ÿ‡ฑ Poland, ๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡ฟCzech, always some people think it’s unnecessary and complicated.
Real progress is ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ membership, ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ signing 10+ laws to speed up process. ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ members have easier way getting accepted into NATO.

Weapons:

It turns out, there is not enough weapons in west for large continental war. ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ needs much more than ๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ซ Afghanistan or ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ถIraq. Now some factories are working 3-4 shifts.

Sanctions:

7th package is being planned to get reviewed (not accepted) in a month.
Problem is with filling natural gas storage in ๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ, reports of storage being 60% full, it might cause problems, but not totally critical.




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