Day 105, June 8. Summary of Arestovych and Feygin daily broadcast

by | 8 Jun 2022 | Video

Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly brought to you by Atis: https://twitter.com/savaadaak.

It looks like we overestimated πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί, given just on Sunday we were saying they were ready to launch a massive attack. They suffered heavy losses around Sievierodonetsk (hundreds killed) and retreated back, πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ also retreated, to allow artillery use. No close battles, heavy artillery exchanges, the city is empty. The expected large offensive did not start, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί doing careful probing attacks, relying on artillery and aviation.

Attacks on Bakhmut-Lysychansk highway failed, attack on Lysychansk failed, Izium and Lyman are quiet. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί conducted recon on river crossing on Siverskyi Donets river from Lysychansk to Siversk. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ forces are very motivated to keep defending, such motivation usually comes from experience in battle and confidence in ability to win.

Most probably πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί military command did change, this careful style of fighting is due to new commanders. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί General died, while leading VDV (airborne forces) in battle, which normally wouldn’t be needed, as they are highly motivated. There have been numerous cases of πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί solders attacking, firing, or driving over commanding officers with tanks. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί does not have disciplinary solution, can’t make discipline even stronger, possibly attempting paradigm change – proving that the new command really cares about soldier’s lives. With previous command, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί would have certainly launched an attack by now given how many forces they’ve accumulated.

Zaporozhye: πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί dug in a battalion (30) of T62 tanks, using them as checkpoints, relocating part of forces away, possibly to Kherson area, because πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is not doing well there. Kherson: πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ established a foothold near Davydiv Brid, repelled multiple πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attacks, now πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ advanced even further. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί lost approximately 1 BTG. Also, πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί has concentrated all the forces from surrounding area of 150-20km from Popasna. Such relocation of forces hasn’t happened before. It means, that πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί can’t complete main objectives without significant relocation.

Even if πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί now wins in the East (which is unlikely), their forces would need to retreat, and do serious replenishing afterwards, which would take very long time (and allow πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ to get more weapons). This is only hypothesis at the moment, but has at least 2 proofs (transfer of forces in 2 locations). If this is true, and πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is unable to attack without concentrating forces, they lost war tempo even before lend-lease arrived. Conclusion: either πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί seriously started saving lives of their troops, or waiting is for reinforcements, which also implies 1st reason. Either case, it’s a good sign for πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦.

According to sources in Moscow, Putin had a meeting with generals 2 days ago which apparently resulted in a lot of yelling indicating he was not happy with them. πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί attempted to prove that no matter what time-frame, regardless of resistance, they will achieve their objectives. Now, the question arises – what sort of referendum can be held, if πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ forces are just 20km away from Kherson. It’s impossible.

Lavrov’s visit in πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡· – denies stealing of grain, asks for restarting negotiations, which signals that πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί is not doing well. Yet πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί can’t be trusted about any deal. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ will decide how and to whom to sell its grain, after πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί removes its navy. Mine clearing won’t happen before that. πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ asks for military solution to grain transport (possibly anti-ship missile)

European Commission stands with πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ, πŸ‡¬πŸ‡§, πŸ‡±πŸ‡ΉπŸ‡±πŸ‡»πŸ‡ͺπŸ‡ͺBaltics, πŸ‡΅πŸ‡±, πŸ‡¨πŸ‡¦, supports πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ in defeating πŸ‡·πŸ‡Ί, removing its ability to threaten neighbours. Old Europe is split into Euro-Atlantists, for unity of all countries surrounding Atlantic Ocean. Continentalists want to balance πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡Έ and anglo-saxon influence. They have fallen for Putin’s fake reality, as it matches their political tasks and goals. Saying that Putin has made a mistake (rather than admitting a crime). πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ army will not allow to play games with πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦.

Personal Sanctions – still struggling adding some influential people, but with time they will get included. Confiscated valuables should be transferred to πŸ‡ΊπŸ‡¦ assistance fund. People, who say that it’s a mistake (the war), rather than crime, do disrupt justice. Lockerby case lasted for 10 years. Next broadcast on Friday.

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