Summary of the daily livestream with Aleksey Arestovych, kindly provided by https://twitter.com/savaadaak
Kadiivka (Stakhanov): destroyed base of operations for 🇷🇺 Wagner group and Rosgvrdia [link]
Kherson Oblast: Bombing of 🇷🇺 positions, 2 generals killed – one military, one FSB, organizing referendum. Bombing of 3 🇷🇺 ammo/fuel warehouses, detonations for several hours. Chkalove: Confirmed kill of Arabic (possibly 🇸🇾Syrian) mercenaries fighting for 🇷🇺, over 200 killed [link] Partisans destroyed UAZ vehicle with 🇷🇺 colonel and 3 solders. BM-21 Grad “broke down”, before reaching attack position.
Kharkiv Oblast: yesterday bombing on 🇷🇺 positions, dozens of killed, burning until late evening today.
Izium,Popasna,Zaporozhye – information still arriving.
Sievierodonetsk: 🇷🇺 has reinforced only artillery, trying to focus on capturing Siversk, to block Lysychansk, as well as get to Sloviansk. In many places situation is changing fast, often recaptures, but small distances. Recon unit of 🇷🇺 Akhmat regiment destroyed completely. Most 🇺🇦 attacks with 155mm artillery, need twice as much, to be really effective. Due to artillery working well, no significant 🇷🇺 movements. There is a lot of conflicting information, any news about recapture shouldn’t be celebrated, because situation is changing a lot. Tactical progress should be evaluated with minimum period of 2-3 days, Operational progress within 20-30 days.
Death sentence of 🇬🇧 citizens fighting for 🇺🇦 is for 2 reasons – to increase exchange value, and to make people talk about DNR. Execution of death penalty is unlikely, as that would cause stronger reaction from 🇬🇧 (either in weapons supplies or sanctions).
🇷🇺 attempting to make noise regarding referendum in Kherson, that is needed to feed their image of “Achieving goals, regardless of time and price”. Need to tell more often, that 🇺🇦 forces are currently 15km from Kherson, chances of having referendum are low
Putin’s comparing himself to Peter 1st is very low level rhetoric. This is intended for internal audience. In last 100 days, 🇷🇺 has changed war objectives 9 times. Mentioning of historical figures goes back chronologically. On 200th day expecting to compare Putin to Vladimir the Great.
🇩🇪 increased imports from 🇷🇺 by 60% during war, worth € 6bn. Putin has been made by the West, fed by West, supported by West, comfortable to the West, controllable and in a way – predictable. If only not for that damn 🇺🇦, everything would be fine. #Arestovych will keep nagging every evening, until those people start providing weapons in necessary quantities. There is responsibility for growing up Putin, responsibility for supporting him now. 🇺🇸 and 🇬🇧 assistance is huge, most of 🇺🇦 budget is external aid. 🇺🇦 recognizes existing assistance, without it, 🇺🇦 would be defending behind Dnipro river.
Goals have been defined – to win 🇷🇺 army within 🇺🇦 territory. The military assistance received is weird, does not match goals. Why it comes in such small amounts? 6000 anti-tank missiles are great, but they can’t do anything against long-range missiles. If 🇺🇦 had 3x as much artillery as now (which is not unrealistic to supply), 🇺🇦 would solve all 🇷🇺 attacks. All targets are known.
🇺🇦 is losing 100 solders every day, this has been constant since beginning of war. 🇷🇺 losses were 1000s/day in first 20-30 days, right now in order of 200-300/day. Today was exceptionally good 🇺🇦 artillery work, about 600 killed 🇷🇺. Losses are expected to continue 1:3 to 1:6 in favor of 🇺🇦, but it’s still large losses.
European Commission to support 🇺🇦 in 🇪🇺, with correction to also support West Balkans, who are also waiting in queue [link]. 🇪🇺 calls to create commissar of defense, unified purchases of equipment
🇺🇦 citizenship (after journalist A. Nevzorov received citizenship while in exile)
Many people in 🇺🇦 want to build large country with small culture. That could work for small, isolated countries, but not for 🇺🇦. Basic resource of humanity is diversity. To lose war, 🇺🇦 has to lose diversity (* Arestovych is for 🇺🇦 language as only official language). Many believe, that you can lock the door, and only peek at Russia through keyhole. That is impossible, having 6000km border and 400 years common history.
The only way to win, is adequate attitude and assisting those in 🇷🇺 and 🇧🇾, who are reaching for light, changing anthropological direction to Kyiv, so that anything smart and creative in 🇷🇺 has chances to prosper in 🇺🇦. For anyone afraid of 🇷🇺 obtaining 🇺🇦 citizenship, and continuing working for Putin – they will be tried as citizens of 🇺🇦, which would mean increased sentence. Citizenship doesn’t remove past crimes, if those are found. Small, closed country would loose to 🇷🇺. Even occupied territories still have 🇺🇦 language as official so far. There are still solders in 🇺🇦 army, fighting since 2014, who can’t receive 🇺🇦 citizenship. Currently it’s hard to receive.
